寇传乾（济南钢铁集团总公司自动化部，山东济南250101）摘　要：根据最小二乘法理论，研制出一种基于废气温度上升点的烧结终点预报策略，利用模糊逻辑技术建立了烧结终点控制模型，对终点实施准确的在线预测预报和优化控制。模型投用后，一般在1、2个控制周期内即可使烧结终点控制在设定范围内，终点波动由7%降到3%，年创效益1000多万元。关键词：烧结终点；在线预报；模糊逻辑；废气温度上升点；最小二乘法中图分类号：TP273+.4　　文献标识码：A　　文章编号：1004-4620（2008）01-0061-04OnlinePredictionandFuzzyControlofBurningThroughPointKOUChuan-qian（TheAutomationDepartmentofJinanIronandSteelGroupCorporation,Jinan250101,China）Abstract：:AccordingtothetheoryofLeastSquareMethod,thispaperdevelopedoutasinteringBTPpredictionstrategybasedonBurnRisingPoint(BRP)andestablishedBTPControlModelbasedonFuzzyLogictechnology.ThemodelpredictedBTPon-lineaccuratelyandoptimizedcontrolautomatically.Afterputtingintouse,themodelcouldcontrolBTPinitssettingrangeby1or2controlcycles,andBTPfluctuationwasdecreasedfrom7to3percentandbrought10millio..