卿玉国，赵国武，朱学安（张店钢铁总厂，山东淄博255007）摘　要：将骨牌理论和概率论应用于安全管理实际，总结分析出事故控制的重点是抓住其关键因素而非全部，安全管理需齐抓共管、全面但要突出弱点，消除隐患不是避免事故的唯一途径，任何人员的松懈都能导致整个企业安全管理的失败。关键词：安全管理；骨牌理论；概率论；应用中图分类号：X931　　文献标识码：A　　文章编号：1004-4620（2008）01-0070-02ApplicationAnalysisofDominoesTheoryandProbabilityinSecurityManagementQINGYu-guo,ZHAOGuo-wu,ZHUXue-an(ZhangdianIronandSteelGeneralWorks,Zibo255007,China)Abstract:Throughtheapplicationpracticeofdominoestheoryandprobabilityinsecuritymanagement,itwasanalyzedandsummarizedthattheemphasisofaccidentcontrolisthekeyfactorsofaccident,notallthefactors,securitymanagementmustbeall-sided,butmustfocusonweakness,eliminatinghiddendangerisnottheonlywaytoavoidaccidentandrelaxationofanyonecanresultinfailureofthewholesecuritymanagement.Keywords:securitymanagement;dominoestheory;chanceratetheory;application1前言　　企业安全管理涉及企业..